What To Expect From the UK Stock Market in 2025

Key Takeaways

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• U.K. equities are trading at historically low valuations, offering attractive entry points.
• The U.K. economy is recovering, and lower interest rates are expected to further stimulate growth.
• Financials, industrials, advertising, housing-related sectors and consumer staples may offer promising investment opportunities in 2025.

As falling interest rates and improving economic conditions set the stage for a revitalized investment environment, U.K. equities are emerging as a compelling opportunity for both domestic and international investors.

Offering historically low valuations, strong dividends and access to a diverse array of resilient companies, the U.K. market is poised for a resurgence.

Potential Market Development

Falling interest rates may boost U.K. equities in 2025, offering opportunities for dealmaking and potential comebacks from U.K. laggards.

U.K. equities  present a compelling investment opportunity. Trading at historically low valuations, they offer exposure to diverse companies supported by underappreciated U.K. economic strength. The potential returns are attractive with an average dividend yield near 4% and an additional 2% from share buybacks.

While market momentum slowed in late 2024 due to government uncertainty and budgetary impacts, economic data now drives sentiment. Inflationary pressures from higher National Insurance costs and minimum wage increases may challenge companies. But experienced management teams will adapt through price adjustments and efficiency measures.

Monetary policy is key, with interest rates expected to fall gradually. The Bank of England’s cautious approach reflects inflation concerns but could accelerate cuts if economic conditions warrant, benefiting U.K. equity valuations.

This environment underscores the importance of focusing on resilient, well-managed companies to drive long-term returns.

Which Sectors To Monitor

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Alex Wright, portfolio manager of Fidelity Special Values, said U.K. equities remain undervalued  relative to other markets despite reasonable performance since the pandemic.

While domestic investors focus on high-performing U.S. tech stocks, U.K. stocks offer attractive valuations, supported by increasing M&A activity, stable political conditions, strong dividends and share buybacks.

“Overseas corporates and private equity are recognizing this opportunity, even as U.K. valuations lag global peers. Additionally, many U.K.-listed companies generate substantial revenue internationally, reducing reliance on domestic economic conditions.”

The portfolio  remains diversified across 90 to 100 holdings, with strong representation in financials due to favorable valuations and growth potential. Cyclical sectors like industrials, advertising and housing-related names are seeing new investments. Defensives like consumer staples and utilities have been added on weakness.

Conversely, investors reduced resource exposure, particularly in mining and energy, due to negative outlooks for iron ore and thermal coal.

Opportunities are reportedly particularly strong among smaller-cap companies, with several AIM-listed stocks added amid pre-budget concerns.

Overall, the portfolio’s holdings trade at a 15 to 20% discount to the broader U.K. market, with resilient earnings, strong returns on capital and low debt levels. The portfolio generates one-third of its revenues domestically and two-thirds internationally, positioning it strongly to capitalize on improving economic conditions and achieve attractive long-term returns.

More IPO on the Horizon

The global IPO market has been slow recently, with 946 IPOs in 2024, far below the 2021 peak of 2,355. The U.K. has been particularly hard-hit, with many companies opting to list in the U.S.

However, some companies, including Shein and Starling Bank, showed interest in U.K. listings , which could signal a potential turnaround. Canal+ recently listed in London, although its valuation was lower than expected.

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Due to higher valuations, the U.S. has attracted U.K. companies like Ashtead Group, Flutter and CRH. To address this, the FCA has relaxed listing rules , aligning them with international standards and making it easier for companies like Shein to list.

According to Kathleen Brooks , founder of Minerva Analysis, cross-border listings are also increasing, with more foreign companies choosing U.S. exchanges. However, London could benefit if the U.S. becomes less attractive due to political changes. Additionally, the IPO market is shifting toward quality.

Despite fewer IPOs, this focus on quality may lead to better long-term investments. However, IPOs remain high-risk, so investors should ensure their portfolios are diversified and seek financial advice if needed.

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